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 MarketScout: End Of Soft Market In Sight 

 
Published 1/6/2011 

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NU Online News Service, Jan. 6, 3:24 p.m. EST

The end of the soft market is in sight and prices will begin an upward swing toward the latter part of this year, according to the chief executive of MarketScout.

Richard Kerr, the chief executive officer for the Dallas-based electronic insurance exchange, said in a statement that “2010 will prove to be the beginning of the end of a six-year soft market cycle.”

He said that while rates were down for all of last year, they exhibited some moderation and held steady in a small, tight range of 3 to 5 percent.

The first six months of this year will see slight reductions on “competitively marketed placements” and flat renewals on markets not under those pressures.

“By year-end 2011, the longest soft market period in the last 70 years will finally come to a close,” he declared. “For those who have been asking for just ‘one more hard market,’ your time is coming. You have six to nine months to get ready. Be prepared. Those with the ability to rapidly deploy products will win big.”

Mr. Kerr’s remarks came with the release of MarketScout’s latest market barometer that showed an average market rate pricing decrease of 5 percent for December. The figure is identical to November, and those numbers are only one percentage point higher than September and October.

By size of account, medium, large and jumbo size accounts were down 5 percent and small accounts were down 3 percent for the month.

In the coverage classes, general liability was down the most at 6 percent, followed by commercial property at 5 percent.

Down the least were commercial auto, workers’ compensation, professional liability and surety, all down 1 percent.

Fiduciary was flat.



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    • 1/6/2011 3:56:23 PM
    • Charles Bernier
    • soft market 4 quarter 2011
    • please provide macro and micro economic data that would support this statment. thank you
    • 1/6/2011 11:46:08 PM
    • S Smith
    • End Of Soft Market In Sight
    • Baloney!! Reisnurer's aren't raising their rates. In fact, they are lowering them. Issuing carriers won't move until the reinsurance market begins to raise their premiums.
    • 1/7/2011 1:30:13 AM
    • RobertK
    • just not so! What's he been smokin'???
    • Articles like this are -- deceptive at best. Why doesnt A&B pole their agent base, and find out the real trends?? They may wish this is the case, but whipping out an article doesn't make it so!
    • 1/7/2011 9:16:25 AM
    • Eli Mishanie
    • End Of Soft Market In Sight
    • It would be helpful if there was data or substance behind a prediction. Without a major catastrophe there is still way too much capacity available. The P&C industry posted record profits. I hope Richard Kerr is right but I'm still not sold...
    • 1/7/2011 9:54:18 AM
    • Greg Sosbee
    • Soft Market
    • Pricing might stabilize near the current levels, but until there is a major catastrophe, price rises that would reflect a :hardening" of rates will not occur.

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